Can a computer predict the world economy?

MARTIN ARMSTRONG, once a US based trillion dollar financial advisor, developed a computer model based on the number pi and other cyclical theories to predict economic turning points with eerie accuracy. In the early 80s he established his financial forecasting and advising company Princeton Economics. His forecasts were in great demand worldwide. As Armstrong's recognition grew, prominent New York bankers invited him to join "The Club" to aid them in market manipulation. Martin repeatedly refused.

Later that same year (1999) the FBI stormed his offices, confiscating his computer model and accusing him of a 3 billion dollar Ponzi scheme. Was it an attempt to silence him and prevent him from initiating a public discourse on the real Ponzi scheme of debts that the world has been building up for decades? Armstrong predicts that a sovereign debt crisis will start to unfold on a global level after October 1, 2015 - a major pi turning point that his computer model forecasted many years ago.

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The year is 2014: Europe is stumbling from one emergency summit to the next. America has gone crashing through the 15-billion-dollar debt ceiling. People are taking to the streets across the world because they have realized that something has been thrown off kilter; that the market economy is tearing a vast rift between the super rich and the masses; that the banks have spiralled out of control; that governments have lost their grip on public debt.

And after eleven years off the radar, a man resurfaces in Philadelphia, a man who used a computer model and the number pi in the nineties to predict economic turning points with astounding precision: Martin Armstrong predicted the exact date of the October crash in 1987, the demise of the Japanese bull market in 1990, the turning point for the US and European markets in July 1998 and the Nikkei crash in 1989. He was one of the wealthiest Wall Street market analysts and was named economist of the decade and fund manager of the year in 1998. But he refused to play along with the bankers’ game and warned his customers that “the club” was manipulating currency and silver markets.

He quickly made powerful enemies: New York investment bankers, hedge funds managers, Salomon Brothers, Goldman Sachs. The FBI and SEC, US Securities and the Exchange Commission, started to show interest in his computer model. In 1999 he was arrested on charges of fraud which he still disputes to this day. He was incarcerated for seven years for contempt of court. After time in solitary confinement and threats against his mother, he signed a partial confession and was sentenced to a further four years.

This documentary film portrays a man returning to his life after eleven years in prison. It follows him as he meets his old partners for the first time and depicts his first public speech to people who are still prepared to travel from across the globe and pay handsome sums to hear him speak. The film shows him attempting to prove his innocence and expose the power of the New York banks.

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“Thriller than reality.“
Weekly newspaper "Die Zeit"

“The Forecaster Is a Compelling Doc of Financial Espionage."
Village Voice Review by Chris Packham

„Hopefully, this film is coming just in time in the middle of political turmoil around the world where people want to know what is really going on. That is what this film is all about and on this score, I hope it will be the catalyst for serious reform and change.“
Martin Armstrong

"The fascinating aspect is the stark difference between the American and European press. The American press, in general, are too engaged in self-censorship to report the truth to the people. At least in Germany, they are willing to discuss hard issues."
Martin Armstrong

Martin Armstrong started collecting coins as a young boy. His enduring interest in numismatics brought him his first wealth and set him on the path of to commodities trading and eventually the development of the Economic Confidence Model, which he traces back to ancient Rome.

Martin Armstrong's meticulously researched and developed Economic Confidence Model has enormous implications for the world. At one point, everyone from Goldman Sachs to the CIA and FBI wanted it. Armstrong and his team at Princeton Economics took extreme measures to protect the algorithm and the computers it resided on.

Seeing the patterns of ancient civilizations like Rome repeated over and over gave Martin Armstrong the historical perspective to see the cycles in confidence and economy. Using the historical record, he predicts the path of modern society, and it isn’t rosy.

The interactive extension of the documentary

The documentary The Forecaster tells the story of infamous financial advisor Martin Armstrong. Armstrong’s economic forecasts and their interconnections with world events financial and political are complex and astonishing. The online platform The Forecaster – Interactive examines the myriad of topics and relationships of the film in depth, connecting them with current events and politics.The interactive timeline places the central events of Martin Armstrong’s life — including his controversial economic forecasts — in their political and historical context. Viewers can explore the timeline on their own and look for the answers to the questions that the film raises. The platform is organized around Armstrong’s forecasts but goes beyond them. It includes many significant financial and world events of the past. The platform also includes the present and the near future — as befits a site about forecasting and predictions. It might even give visitors an answer to the most pressing question: are the forecasts true?

The Forecaster Interactive

Thriller als die Wirklichkeit (DE)
05/06/2015 | ZEIT ONLINE | von Karsten Polke-Majewski

Ein Gespräch mit „Börsenprophet“ Martin Armstrong (DE)
05/06/2015 | Nordkurier| Interview

The Forecaster - The story of espionage (EN)
05/07/2015 | LA Weekly & OC Weekly | by Chris Packham

"Es wird zu einem großen Crash kommen"
Finanzprophet Armstrong sagt Ende des Euro voraus (DE)
05/07/2015 | Die Welt | von Nando Sommerfeld & Holger Zschäpitz

Hellseher mit dunkler Vita (DE)
05/07/2015 | ZEIT ONLINE | von Heike Buchter

Alles auf Rot (DE)
05/07/2015 | Junge Welt | by Arnold Schölzel

Filmkritik: „Ich habe um mein Leben geschnitten“ (DE)
05/07/2015 | Stuttgarter Nachrichten | von Cornelius Oettle

Finanzmarkt-Star sagt den Zerfall des Euro voraus (DE)

05/08/2015 | Huffingtonpost | von Dr. Gunda Windmüller

Von Glaskugeln und Verschwörungstheorien (DE)
05/09/2015 | derFreitag | von Christine P. Krohne

The Forecaster - DOXA Review Vancouver (EN)
04/29/2015 | Straight | by Miranda Nelson

Börsen-Analytiker Martin Armstrong: "Ich erwarte einen Crash im Oktober" (DE)
04/16/2015 | Huffingtonpost | von Marcel Bohnensteffen

Interview with Martin Armstrong (DE)
04/13/2015 | Wirtschaftswoche | von Rüdiger Strum

The Forecaster - IDFA Review

16/12/2014 | The Hollywood Reporter | by Neil Young

Talking to Martin Armstrong "The Forecaster" by fxstreet in Barcelona on his Europe Tour about his his view on many troubling issues involving money and financial markets.

This Interview with Martin Armstrong and Marcus Vetter was recorded in May 2015 when Martin Armstrong visited Berlin on his Europe Tour.

“The Forecaster plays like a slickly elaborate sketch for a future Hollywood retelling in the Wolf of Wall Street mold."
IDFA Review by Neil Young

“The Forecaster Is a Compelling Doc of Financial Espionage."
Village Voice Review by Chris Packham

A production of Filmperspektive

Year of production 2014
Lenght 100 minutes
Format HD/DCP/Dolby Digit
A production of FILMPERSPEKTIVE GmbH
In co-production with EIKON Berlin
TV Plus Hannover
Supported by MFG | MEDIENBOARD
Directed and edited by Marcus Vetter
Co-Director Karin Steinberger
Camera Georg Zengerling
Sound Aljoscha Haupt

In Coproduction with Eikon, TV PLUS, SWR, ARTE, NDR

Mix Jonathan Schorr
Original Music Sven Kaiser
Art Director Michele Gentile
Associate Producer

Anne Walser C-Films
Ulf Meyer addictive film

Producers Ulli Pfau
Michael Heiks
Marcus Vetter
Distribution, Germany Farbfilm
Distribution, Switzerland Praesensfilms
Distribution, World Autlook Filmsales